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What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on Under, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.4k
BUY Under @ 16¢ · 102,398 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet bluemario took Under (buy) for $16.4k at an average 16¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 16¢ means
16%chance the market gave
+525American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 16¢
- Implied odds
- 16.0%
- As American odds
- +525 no vig
- Size
- $16.4k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 10:11 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 09:40 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- bluemario
- Tx
- 0xf787f355…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-50.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -16 ptsUnder price · entry 16¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |