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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on Over, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.8k
BUY Over @ 50¢ · 21,614 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet bluemario took Over (buy) for $10.8k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $10.8k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 15:45 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- bluemario
- Tx
- 0xf0fef48e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-50.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsOver price · entry 50¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.
| YES Over 2.5 goals scored | $40.2k | 55¢ | 1d ago |