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What this means. A wallet put $16.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.8k
BUY No @ 56¢ · 30,086 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $16.8k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.8k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $16.8k
- Placed
- Sep 06, 09:57 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 06, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xe32acbc5…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsNo price · entry 56¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $74.4k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $72.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |