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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Solary, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY Solary @ 44¢ · 22,727 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BrotherObama took Solary (buy) for $10.0k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Galions. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Solary wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- As American odds
- +127 no vig
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 07:53 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 08:20 EDT
- Result
- Galions
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BrotherObama
- Tx
- 0xe312b4f2…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -44 ptsSolary price · entry 44¢ · resolved Galions
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED Galions UP +17.0 pts | $170.8k 24h vol |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Solary @ 44¢ | $20.0k | missed |