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What this means. A wallet put $22.0k on Lorenzo Musetti, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.0k
BUY Lorenzo Musetti @ 53¢ · 41,493 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Lorenzo Musetti (buy) for $22.0k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Lorenzo Musetti. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lorenzo Musetti wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.1%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $22.0k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 16:44 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 15:40 EDT
- Result
- Lorenzo Musetti
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xdf74f1ec…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsLorenzo Musetti price · entry 53¢ · resolved Lorenzo Musetti
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | LOW BUY Lorenzo Musetti @ 62¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | MED BUY Luca Van Assche @ 74¢ | $100.7k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | HIGH SELL Lorenzo Musetti @ 55¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | MED BUY Lorenzo Musetti @ 85¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | LOW Luca Van Assche DOWN -12.5 pts $22.0k whale money behind it | $316.6k 24h vol |
excluded |
| Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | LOW BUY Luca Van Assche @ 49¢ | $20.0k | excluded |