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What this means. A wallet put $240.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$240.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 241,107 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet4.9× this wallet's usual betCrypto
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (sell) for $240.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $240.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $240.3k
- Placed
- Jun 03, 18:26 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0xdb1aa065…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $45.0k | excluded |