← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $521.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$521.3k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 521,800 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)5.8× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet expectless took No (sell) for $521.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $521.3k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $521.3k
- Placed
- Jan 11, 13:04 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- expectless
- Tx
- 0xd57bb045…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-21.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |