← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $23.3k on Antonia Ruzic, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.3k
BUY Antonia Ruzic @ 47¢ · 49,956 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Woaifacai took Antonia Ruzic (buy) for $23.3k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Katie Boulter. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+115American odds
$1.00paid per share if Antonia Ruzic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 46.6%
- As American odds
- +115 no vig
- Size
- $23.3k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 05:10 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 04:05 EDT
- Result
- Katie Boulter
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Woaifacai
- Tx
- 0xd49cdd2d…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+17.3 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsAntonia Ruzic price · entry 47¢ · resolved Katie Boulter
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | LOW SELL Katie Boulter @ 99.9¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | LOW BUY Katie Boulter @ 83¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | HIGH Katie Boulter DOWN -34.0 pts $96.0k whale money behind it | $201.2k 24h vol |
excluded |
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | LOW BUY Antonia Ruzic @ 83¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | LOW BUY Katie Boulter @ 43¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| NO Antonia Ruzic | $12.9k | 92¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Katie Boulter | $18.5k | 86¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Antonia Ruzic | $14.7k | 86¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Antonia Ruzic | $17.3k | 82¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Antonia Ruzic | $10.4k | 41¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Katie Boulter odds move | $51.0k | 46¢ | 1d ago |