← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY Over @ 58¢ · 51,652 shares
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet tin54321 took Over (buy) for $30.0k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $30.0k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−139American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.1%
- As American odds
- −139 no vig
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 13:54 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tin54321
- Tx
- 0xd39220f9…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-58.1 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsOver price · entry 58¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.