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What this means. A wallet put $35.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-10-22?excluded
$35.4k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 35,470 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet Flaznorp took No (buy) for $35.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $35.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$35.4k
Placed
Oct 22, 11:49 EDT
Market close
Oct 22, 10:30 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Flaznorp
Tx
0xd2f7eaf5…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $35.4k WHALE $35.4K @ 99.9¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.