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What this means. A wallet put $11.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.3k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 16,259 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet lava-lava took Yes (buy) for $11.3k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−227American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 69.5%
- Size
- $11.3k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 16:20 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 25, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lava-lava
- Tx
- 0xcea0b3b4…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +1.6 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · now 71¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $12.2k | pending |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢ | $11.0k | pending |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $10.0k | pending |