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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Niccolo Ciavarella, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
M15 Monastir: Aziz Dougaz vs Niccolo CiavarellaOpenAwaiting resolution
$10.0k
BUY Niccolo Ciavarella @ 50¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet janinule1239 took Niccolo Ciavarella (buy) for $10.0k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $10.0k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Niccolo Ciavarella wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
As American odds
−100 no vig
Size
$10.0k
Placed
Oct 28, 16:39 EDT
Market close
Oct 28, 06:30 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
janinule1239
Tx
0xc0d0c34c…

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.0 pts
Niccolo Ciavarella price · entry 50¢ · now 50¢
46¢52¢58¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $10.0k WHALE $10.0K @ 50¢ +0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.