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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Over @ 50¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet chongchong37 took Over (buy) for $15.0k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 20:12 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- chongchong37
- Tx
- 0xbdaa7c92…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+12.1 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsOver price · entry 50¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 50¢ | $14.8k | missed |