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Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5excluded$14.8k
SELL Under @ 99.9¢ · 14,836 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet MD14 took Under (sell) for $14.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $14.8k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 22:45 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- MD14
- Tx
- 0xb1079a14…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+25.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
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