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Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $120.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 23% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?excluded$120.3k
SELL Yes @ 77¢ · 155,509 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0x52b6…153b took Yes (sell) for $120.3k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 23% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $120.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 22.6%
- As American odds
- +342 no vig
- Size
- $120.3k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 21:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x52b6…153b
- Tx
- 0xae8dbb14…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-74.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -23 ptsYes price · entry 77¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |