← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
BUY No @ 86¢ · 12,102 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took No (buy) for $10.4k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−614American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 86.0%
- As American odds
- −614 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 09:02 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0xab9b8a24…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+9.0 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +14 ptsNo price · entry 86¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.