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What this means. A wallet put $39.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$39.1k
BUY No @ 98.7¢ · 39,600 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x4b0e…0677 took No (buy) for $39.1k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $39.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7310American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.7¢
- Implied odds
- 98.7%
- As American odds
- −7310 no vig
- Size
- $39.1k
- Placed
- Jul 16, 13:24 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:37 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4b0e…0677
- Tx
- 0xab2dd390…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $222.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $201.3k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $143.1k | excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $143.2k | excluded |