← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $143.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$143.1k
SELL No @ 98.3¢ · 145,601 shares in 9 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side9 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x4b0e…0677 took No (sell) for $143.1k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $143.1k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
9 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 1.7%
- As American odds
- +5700 no vig
- Size
- $143.1k
- Placed
- Jul 18, 10:17 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:37 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4b0e…0677
- Tx
- 0x85b3d9de…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsNo price · entry 98.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $222.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $201.3k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $143.2k | excluded |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $101.1k | excluded |