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What this means. A wallet put $68.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?excluded
$68.9k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 69,704 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.2× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet omoi0i0 took No (buy) for $68.9k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $68.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8127American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.8¢
Implied odds
98.8%
Size
$68.9k
Placed
Sep 08, 16:13 EDT
Market close
Sep 12, 02:05 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
omoi0i0
Tx
0xa8a1b2cd…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+5.7 pts
expected 3.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
No price · entry 98.8¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.8¢ · $68.9k WHALE $68.9K @ 98.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.