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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on CR Flamengo, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.1k
BUY CR Flamengo @ 38¢ · 31,801 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet OhWhenTheReds took CR Flamengo (buy) for $12.1k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Estudiantes de La Plata, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+162American odds
$1.00paid per share if CR Flamengo wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.1%
- As American odds
- +162 no vig
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 19:16 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Estudiantes de La Plata
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- OhWhenTheReds
- Tx
- 0xa0faf1f0…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-38.1 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsCR Flamengo price · entry 38¢ · resolved Estudiantes de La Plata
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Estudiantes de La Plata @ 61¢ | $21.1k | called |