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What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.3k
BUY Nuggets @ 74¢ · 17,959 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Mongol3 took Nuggets (buy) for $13.3k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 74.0%
- As American odds
- −285 no vig
- Size
- $13.3k
- Placed
- Apr 06, 17:36 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 06, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Mongol3
- Tx
- 0x90aa3c83…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+20.5 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +26 ptsNuggets price · entry 74¢ · resolved Nuggets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $195.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $19.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |