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Mongol3

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +20.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+20.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$30.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$24.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $280.5k volume · 19 trades · since Mar 01, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$24.7k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
69%
16 closed
Wallet age · markets
237d
16 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports221.6+20.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Nuggets @ 74¢ $13.3k74% 200d agocalled
Nuggets vs. JazzLOW BUY Nuggets @ 85¢ $17.4k85% 236d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5a8712…