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What this means. A wallet put $17.5k on not Iron Wing, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.5k
SELL Iron Wing @ 99.9¢ · 17,469 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet gxxyy took Iron Wing (sell) for $17.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Iron Wing. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $17.5k
- Placed
- Aug 20, 23:08 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 20, 22:15 EDT
- Result
- Iron Wing
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gxxyy
- Tx
- 0x80d04660…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsIron Wing price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Iron Wing · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL Iron Wing @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL Iron Wing @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Iron Wing @ 54¢ | $32.8k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Iron Wing @ 47¢ | $15.0k | excluded |