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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?pending
$19.8k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 19,965 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet olegs took No (buy) for $19.8k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.4¢
Implied odds
99.4%
Size
$19.8k
Placed
Oct 22, 10:14 EDT
Market close
Nov 01, 00:00 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
olegs
Tx
0x80b7b4e6…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+21.1 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.1 pts
No price · entry 99.4¢ · now 99.5¢
95¢98¢102¢ Whale entry 99.4¢ · $19.8k WHALE $19.8K @ 99.4¢ +0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.