← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $22.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.0k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 22,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet madril took No (sell) for $22.0k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $22.0k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 08:17 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- madril
- Tx
- 0x74790072…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $33.6k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $36.9k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |