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basedcigany

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$21.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,400
Last 30 days −$423 · $10.87M volume · 27,821 trades · since May 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$12.7k
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$1,027
Closed-position win rate
69%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
885d
598 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $11.3k99% 195d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $10.3k99% 258d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0015c5…