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What this means. A wallet put $22.0k on not Diana Shnaider, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.0k
SELL Diana Shnaider @ 99.9¢ · 21,986 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x246b…fb5b took Diana Shnaider (sell) for $22.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Diana Shnaider. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $22.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 07:04 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 04:45 EDT
- Result
- Diana Shnaider
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x246b…fb5b
- Tx
- 0x649fd39d…
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Diana Shnaider @ 91¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Diana Shnaider @ 90¢ | $13.6k | excluded | |
| HIGH Alexandra Eala DOWN -25.0 pts $20.0k whale money behind it | $456.1k 24h vol |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Alexandra Eala @ 32¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Diana Shnaider | $10.4k | 91¢ | 2d ago |
| YES Diana Shnaider | $10.1k | 80¢ | 2d ago |
| YES Diana Shnaider | $14.5k | 75¢ | 2d ago |
| YES Alexandra Eala | $10.5k | 25¢ | 2d ago |
| YES Diana Shnaider | $12.5k | 86¢ | 2d ago |
| YES Diana Shnaider odds move | $702.6k | 81¢ | 2d ago |
| NO Alexandra Eala odds move | $142.5k | 80¢ | 2d ago |
| NO Alexandra Eala | $47.5k | 84¢ | 2d ago |