WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5excluded
$15.0k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 29,412 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet tin54321 took Over (buy) for $15.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $15.0k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Oct 20, 14:58 EDT
Market close
Oct 20, 15:00 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
tin54321
Tx
0x5dfe4159…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-58.1 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +49 pts
Over price · entry 51¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 51¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.