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What this means. A wallet put $36.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$36.2k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 36,244 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet madril took No (sell) for $36.2k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $36.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$36.2k
Placed
Jan 18, 09:16 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
madril
Tx
0x5a34db19…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $36.2k WHALE $36.2K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k0% ClaudeAI268d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% 0x2060…be52268d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.7k0% 0xcc46…d7e2268d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% 0x5ef1…8b83268d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% 0xe9eb…1410268d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% 0x8c49…54fa268d agoexcluded