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What this means. A wallet put $113.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?missed
$113.1k
SELL Yes @ 87¢ · 130,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEconomy

What happened

Wallet taysioehoa12345 took Yes (sell) for $113.1k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $113.1k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
87¢
Implied odds
13.0%
Size
$113.1k
Placed
Sep 15, 09:18 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
taysioehoa12345
Tx
0x5005a4aa…
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Entry to resolution

Grade -13 pts
Yes price · entry 87¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 87¢ · $113.1k WHALE $113.1K @ 87¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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