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What this means. A wallet put $36.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$36.4k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 36,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet madril took No (sell) for $36.4k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $36.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$36.4k
Placed
Jan 18, 05:44 EST
Market close
Jun 28, 03:11 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
madril
Tx
0x4cd96be5…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% lovedudley151d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $60.9k100% lovedudley154d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.0k100% lovedudley155d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $76.9k
2.0× usual
100% lovedudley155d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $37.0k100% lovedudley156d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $26.0k100% lovedudley156d agoexcluded