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What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?excluded
$13.2k
BUY Yes @ 42¢ · 31,311 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet NS13 took Yes (buy) for $13.2k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
42.0%
As American odds
+138 no vig
Size
$13.2k
Placed
Oct 22, 14:37 EDT
Market close
Oct 22, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
NS13
Tx
0x49797db6…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
Yes price · entry 42¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $13.2k WHALE $13.2K @ 42¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.