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What this means. A wallet put $18.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.0k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 18,908 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteProven walletOther
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $18.0k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $18.0k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 04:57 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x435193d2…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | MED BUY No @ 95¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $12.0k | called |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | MED BUY No @ 95¢ | $28.2k | called |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $24.6k | called |