← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY No @ 91¢ · 21,957 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (buy) for $20.0k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 91.0%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 11:03 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x41d70ff2…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsNo price · entry 91¢ · now 91.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.