← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on Yihan Qu, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.3 pts over 55 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.4k
BUY Yihan Qu @ 40¢ · 43,698 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yihan Qu (buy) for $17.4k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Teodora Kostovic. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+151American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yihan Qu wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 39.9%
- As American odds
- +151 no vig
- Size
- $17.4k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 10:20 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 24, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- Teodora Kostovic
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x371d7a81…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-3.3 pts
expected 29.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsYihan Qu price · entry 40¢ · resolved Teodora Kostovic
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Yihan Qu vs Teodora Kostovic | LOW SELL Teodora Kostovic @ 99¢ | $39.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Yihan Qu vs Teodora Kostovic | LOW BUY Teodora Kostovic @ 53¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Teodora Kostovic | $31.1k | 92¢ | 9h ago |
| YES Teodora Kostovic | $23.0k | 92¢ | 9h ago |
| YES Teodora Kostovic | $12.7k | 80¢ | 9h ago |
| YES Teodora Kostovic | $19.6k | 79¢ | 9h ago |
| NO Teodora Kostovic | $14.3k | 40¢ | 9h ago |
| YES Yihan Qu | $20.0k | 40¢ | 9h ago |
| YES Teodora Kostovic | $12.2k | 61¢ | 9h ago |
| YES Teodora Kostovic | $13.4k | 81¢ | 10h ago |