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What this means. A wallet put $33.8k on Akira Santillan, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.8k
BUY Akira Santillan @ 34¢ · 99,549 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet kalmal took Akira Santillan (buy) for $33.8k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Akira Santillan, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $33.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Akira Santillan wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- As American odds
- +194 no vig
- Size
- $33.8k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 17:49 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Akira Santillan
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kalmal
- Tx
- 0x356dbe58…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+66.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +66 ptsAkira Santillan price · entry 34¢ · resolved Akira Santillan
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan | MED BUY Liam Broady @ 68¢ | $20.0k | excluded |