← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $48.3k on Under, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+7.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.3k
BUY Under @ 51¢ · 94,730 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet3.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Under (buy) for $48.3k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.3k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $48.3k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 18:43 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 20, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0x3222c82d…
This wallet's graded record
16/23+7.5 pts
expected 14.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsUnder price · entry 51¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.