← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY No @ 90¢ · 16,757 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (buy) for $15.0k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−881American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 89.8%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Jul 08, 14:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 16:51 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x2a91c1ba…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +10 ptsNo price · entry 90¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.