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What this means. A wallet put $31.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$31.3k
BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ · 31,462 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took Yes (buy) for $31.3k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $31.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−19868American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- As American odds
- −19868 no vig
- Size
- $31.3k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 22:43 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0x1d4049a4…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price
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