← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 38 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY Natus Vincere @ 43¢ · 69,767 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0xf559…f462 took Natus Vincere (buy) for $30.0k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Team Falcons, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Natus Vincere wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Oct 06, 11:31 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 06, 15:05 EDT
- Result
- Team Falcons
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf559…f462
- Tx
- 0x16f1d181…
This wallet's graded record
20/38-6.8 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsNatus Vincere price · entry 43¢ · resolved Team Falcons
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $103.3k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 96.2¢ | $10.2k | excluded |