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What this means. A wallet put $50.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.4k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 51,552 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 0x2f82…4efd took No (buy) for $50.4k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4548American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- Size
- $50.4k
- Placed
- Jan 26, 08:49 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2f82…4efd
- Tx
- 0x13a80e9b…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-7.6 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $60.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $44.6k | excluded |