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Spread: Thunder (-9.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $19.6k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)missed$19.6k
BUY Nuggets @ 56¢ · 35,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet chongchong37 took Nuggets (buy) for $19.6k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $19.6k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 20:04 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- chongchong37
- Tx
- 0x10ea076e…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+12.1 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -56 ptsNuggets price · entry 56¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.