← Wallets
+$1,653Yes · avg 30¢ → 38¢ · $7,661
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did +68.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+68.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$10.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$75.1k
Last 30 days +$2,662 · $576.3k volume · 67 trades · since Feb 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$105.4k
Open P&L · 22 positions
−$29.5k
Closed-position win rate
65%
17 closed
Wallet age · markets
252d
38 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +68.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $10.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xff91af…