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Lpuss

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?−$1,447Yes · avg 42¢ → 5.5¢ · $220 · 0 proven with, 1 against
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$39.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$17.7k
Last 30 days −$40 · $163.8k volume · 36 trades · since Jan 05, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$33.7k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$16.0k
Closed-position win rate
71%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
293d
18 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $39.5k0% 236d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfc5162…