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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$27.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$94
Last 30 days −$0 · $40.5k volume · 248 trades · since Oct 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$94
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
19%
63 closed
Wallet age · markets
734d
57 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfa8b78…