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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$196.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$43.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $492.4k volume · 15 trades · since Jun 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$43.3k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
60%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
116d
10 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 16¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 87¢ | $69.7k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | MED BUY Belgium @ 89¢ | $62.5k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 83¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfa3a5d…