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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +7.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+7.8 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$105.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$89.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.25M volume · 67 trades · since Dec 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$242.5k
Open P&L · 27 positions
−$326.6k
Closed-position win rate
96%
27 closed
Wallet age · markets
308d
53 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -4.5 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 49ers vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 68¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 55¢ | $15.0k | called |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ | $25.0k | missed |
 UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Belal Muhammad @ 50¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 68¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $10.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf6891d…