← Wallets
−$164.4kYes · avg 42¢ → 5.5¢ · $24.6k · 0 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -18.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-18.4 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$44.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$192.8k
Last 30 days −$4,474 · $1.41M volume · 186 trades · since Jan 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$24.5k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$168.3k
Closed-position win rate
33%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
278d
14 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 0 | 0.6 | -18.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 11¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $20.0k | missed |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 95.2¢ | $14.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf55c1a…