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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -36.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-36.9 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$54.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$53.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.71M volume · 6,999 trades · since Nov 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 434 closed
+$53.5k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
54%
434 closed
Wallet age · markets
718d
372 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 1.1 | -36.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $17.8k | missed |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 91.8¢ | $19.3k | missed |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $17.4k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xf410c083eb92d2ba6417b6c77797a83057deca73"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xf410c083eb92d2ba6417b6c77797a83057deca73.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf410c0…