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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$60.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $284.6k volume · 14 trades · since Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$25.2k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$50.0k
Closed-position win rate
88%
8 closed
Wallet age · markets
130d
12 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 41¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $15.0k | called |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Norway @ 32¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf40d02…